SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 1

CECDE

12:00Sun 25 Oct

VIV

CD Estradense vs Viveiro CF

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. CD Estradense have won four, drawn one and lost three of their last eight league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W L W. Viveiro CF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D W L.

The numbers. CD Estradense score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets. CD Estradense average 15.2 shots (8.0 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Viveiro CF score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Viveiro CF average 8.1 shots (4.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

The case against. Viveiro CF's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. CD Estradense to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Estradense the likelier winners; CD Estradense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Estradense. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Estradense 2-1 Viveiro CF (9% chance).

The agreed story. CD Estradense or the draw, an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Estradense or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · VIV 5 of 5 (100%)81.3%

CD Estradense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Viveiro CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level

CD Estradense or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · VIV 5 of 5 (100%)71.5%

CD Estradense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Viveiro CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level

CD Estradense or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 3 of 5 (60%) · VIV 3 of 5 (60%)67.7%

CD Estradense scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Viveiro CF trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level

CD Estradense (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

CDE 3 of 5 (60%) · VIV 3 of 5 (60%)62.8%

CD Estradense won 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Viveiro CF lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 4

CD Estradense 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 3 of 5 (60%) · VIV 3 of 5 (60%)48.7%

CD Estradense scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Viveiro CF trailed in 4 of 5 away · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level

CD ESTRADENSE GOALS

CD Estradense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · VIV 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%

CD Estradense scored in 4 of 5 at home · Viveiro CF conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level

CORNERS

Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

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CDE 5 of 5 (100%) · VIV 4 of 5 (80%)89.1%

CD Estradense's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 5 at home · Viveiro CF's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

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CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · VIV 4 of 5 (80%)78.7%

CD Estradense's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Viveiro CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Viveiro CF's level · Viveiro CF: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level

Left off the list: CD Estradense or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); CD Estradense to Win (the numbers (46%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.4%

CD Estradense goals →

Viveiro CF goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD ESTRADENSEWLWLDWLWWL1.60 PPG

VIVEIRO CFLWLLLLWDLD0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD ESTRADENSE HOMExVIVEIRO CF AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME0.501.50CONCEDED A GAME1.100%CLEAN SHEETS10%8.33CORNERS A GAME5.002.44CARDS A GAME3.57

TRENDS

CD Estradense have scored in 80% of their games.

Viveiro CF have scored in 30% of their games.

CD Estradense kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Viveiro CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards