FC Wiltz 71 vs US Rumelange
Match details. Division Nationale, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Am Petz, Wiltz.
What's at stake. FC Wiltz 71 are 15th on 4 points after 10 games, 3 points behind US Rumelange. A win would take them level on points with US Rumelange. US Rumelange are 14th on 7 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Etzella Ettelbruck, 3 points clear of Wiltz. A win would take them above Etzella Ettelbruck.
Form. FC Wiltz 71 have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition FC Wiltz 71 have gone L L L L L L. US Rumelange have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition US Rumelange have gone D L L L L L.
The numbers. FC Wiltz 71 score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. US Rumelange score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last six meetings FC Wiltz 71 have won none, drawn two and lost four. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and US Rumelange won three. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2016, it finished FC Wiltz 71 0-1 US Rumelange.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FC Wiltz 71's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. US Rumelange to win. A tight game. Both teams' records favour US Rumelange; the meetings favour US Rumelange. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Wiltz 71 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Wiltz 71 0-1 US Rumelange (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).