Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos.
What's at stake. Ikorodu City are 10th on 12 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Katsina United, level on points with Bendel Insurance. A win would take them above Katsina United. Shooting Stars are 15th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Warri Wolves, 1 point clear of Abia Warriors. A win would take them above Warri Wolves.
Form. Ikorodu City have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Ikorodu City have gone L W L D W L. Shooting Stars have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition Shooting Stars have gone W L D D L L.
The numbers. Ikorodu City score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ikorodu City average 10.5 shots (4.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Shooting Stars score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Shooting Stars average 7.6 shots (1.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Ikorodu City have won two, drawn two and lost none. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 29 Jan 2026, it finished Ikorodu City 1-0 Shooting Stars.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 40%.
The read. No firm call: Ikorodu City are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Ikorodu City the likelier winners; Ikorodu City are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Ikorodu City. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ikorodu City 1-1 Shooting Stars (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).