Match details. Superliga. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Qizilqum Zarafshon have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. Lokomotiv Tashkent have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Qizilqum Zarafshon score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Qizilqum Zarafshon average 2.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Lokomotiv Tashkent score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Lokomotiv Tashkent average 5.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Qizilqum Zarafshon the likelier winners, but Lokomotiv Tashkent are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Qizilqum Zarafshon.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.34, 76% on the records (Qizilqum Zarafshon: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Lokomotiv Tashkent: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Qizilqum Zarafshon Over 0.5 Goals at 1.42. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Lokomotiv Tashkent Over 0.5 Goals (Qizilqum Zarafshon's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Qizilqum Zarafshon 2-1 Lokomotiv Tashkent (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).