NKNKK

15:00Sun 25 Oct

NKC

NK Korotan vs NK Celje

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Slovenia Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Športni park Ugasle peči, Prevalje.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. NK Korotan have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. NK Celje have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D.

The numbers. NK Korotan score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. NK Korotan average 10.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. NK Celje score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Celje average 8.7 shots (2.7 on target), 2.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 17% against the records' 47%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: NK Korotan 1-1 NK Celje (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

NKK 4 of 6 (67%) · NKC 6 of 6 (100%)85.6%

NK Korotan: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · NK Celje: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

NKK 4 of 6 (67%) · NKC 5 of 6 (83%)78.3%

NK Korotan: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · NK Celje: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.6%

NK Korotan goals →

NK Celje goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

NK KOROTANWDDDLDWDLL1.10 PPG

NK CELJELWLLLDWLDD0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK KOROTAN HOMExNK CELJE AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.701.50CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS40%40%FAILED TO SCORE27%4.25CORNERS A GAME2.332.25CARDS A GAME2.00

TRENDS

NK Korotan have scored in 60% of their games.

NK Celje have scored in 50% of their games.

NK Korotan kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

NK Celje kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards