Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Evesham United have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Halesowen Town FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. Evesham United score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Halesowen Town FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Halesowen Town FC average 11.2 shots (3.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Halesowen Town FC are not clearly stronger.
The read. Halesowen Town FC or the draw. Halesowen Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Halesowen Town FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Halesowen Town FC to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Evesham United 1-1 Halesowen Town FC (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Halesowen Town FC or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 6 of 6 (100%) · HAL 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Halesowen Town FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Evesham United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Halesowen Town FC: only games against sides at Evesham United's level · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level · the call is Halesowen Town FC or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and
Halesowen Town FC or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 5 of 6 (83%) · HAL 7 of 7 (100%)91.7%
Halesowen Town FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Evesham United: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Halesowen Town FC: only games against sides at Evesham United's level · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level · the call is Halesowen Town FC or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and
Halesowen Town FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 5 of 7 (71%) · HAL 5 of 6 (83%)77.4%
Halesowen Town FC won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Evesham United lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 77% · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level · won 2, refunded 3, lost 3
Halesowen Town FC or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 4 of 6 (67%) · HAL 5 of 7 (71%)69%
Halesowen Town FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Evesham United: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Halesowen Town FC: only games against sides at Evesham United's level · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level · the call is Halesowen Town FC or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 6 of 7 (86%) · HAL 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%
Evesham United: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Halesowen Town FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level · Halesowen Town FC: only games against sides at Evesham United's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 7 of 7 (100%) · HAL 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%
Evesham United: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Halesowen Town FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level · Halesowen Town FC: only games against sides at Evesham United's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 6 of 7 (86%) · HAL 4 of 6 (67%)76.2%
Evesham United: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Halesowen Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level · Halesowen Town FC: only games against sides at Evesham United's level
HALESOWEN TOWN FC GOALS
Halesowen Town FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EVE 6 of 6 (100%) · HAL 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
Halesowen Town FC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Evesham United conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Halesowen Town FC: only games against sides at Evesham United's level · Evesham United: only games against sides at Halesowen Town FC's level
Left off the list: Halesowen Town FC to Win (the numbers (42%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.6%
Evesham United goals →
Halesowen Town FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
EVESHAM UNITEDWDLWWLLLLL1.00 PPG
HALESOWEN TOWN FCWWWWDLDDWL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EVESHAM UNITED HOMExHALESOWEN TOWN FC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS30%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.64-0.85GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.18–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.50.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.613LEAGUE GAMES11
Halesowen Town FC: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
EVESHAM UNITED OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
HALESOWEN TOWN FC OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EVESHAM UNITEDxHALESOWEN TOWN FC
7GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.801.86CONCEDED A GAME1.402.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.286%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%29%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Evesham United have scored in 50% of their games.
Halesowen Town FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Evesham United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Halesowen Town FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets