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SLOVENIA - SLOVENIA CUP
NK Litija crestNLNKL
14:00Sat 24 Oct
NKSNK Svoboda Ljubljana crestNS

NK Litija vs NK Svoboda Ljubljana

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Slovenia Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. NK Litija have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. NK Svoboda Ljubljana have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.

The numbers. NK Litija score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. NK Svoboda Ljubljana score 0.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished NK Litija 3-0 NK Svoboda Ljubljana.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and NK Litija are not clearly stronger.

The read. NK Litija or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make NK Litija the likelier winners; NK Litija are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Litija. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NK Litija Over 1.5 Goals (NK Litija's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NK Litija 3-0 NK Svoboda Ljubljana (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
NK Litija or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKS 5 of 5 (100%)90%
NK Litija: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level · the call is NK Litija or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and NK Litija are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
NK Litija (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 5 of 7 (71%) · NKS 8 of 9 (89%)80.2%
NK Litija won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · NK Svoboda Ljubljana lost 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 80% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level · won 6, refunded 3, lost 1
NK Litija or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · NKS 5 of 5 (100%)76.7%
NK Litija: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
NK Litija or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · NKS 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%
NK Litija: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level · the call is NK Litija or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and NK Litija are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
NK Litija to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.25
NKL 2 of 5 (40%) · NKS 4 of 5 (80%)61.7%
NK Litija won 2 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level · the call is NK Litija or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and NK Litija are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
NK Litija Win & Over 1.5TAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 2 of 5 (40%) · NKS 4 of 5 (80%)58.3%
NK Litija: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level · the call is NK Litija or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and NK Litija are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKS 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
NK Litija: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKS 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
NK Litija: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · NKS 3 of 5 (60%)60%
NK Litija: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · NKS 3 of 5 (60%)63.3%
NK Litija: not both scored in 3 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: not both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
NK LITIJA GOALS
NK Litija Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKS 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
NK Litija scored in 4 of 5 at home · NK Svoboda Ljubljana conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Svoboda Ljubljana's level · NK Svoboda Ljubljana: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
Left off the list: NK Litija Over 1.5 Goals (NK Litija's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 3–0 9.8%
NK Litija goals →
NK Svoboda Ljubljana goals ↓
0-04%
1-09%
2-012%
3-010%
4-06%
5-03%
0-13%
1-18%
2-19%
3-18%
4-15%
5-12%
0-21%
1-23%
2-24%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-30.3%
1-30.7%
2-30.9%
3-30.8%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.1%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
NK LITIJALLWDDWWWDW1.80 PPG
NK SVOBODA LJUBLJANALDLLLLLLWL0.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NK LITIJA HOMExNK SVOBODA LJUBLJANA AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME0.600.80CONCEDED A GAME2.4060%CLEAN SHEETS10%20%FAILED TO SCORE60%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
NK LITIJA 1 · 100%DRAW 0NK SVOBODA LJUBLJANA 0 · 0%
2026-08-30NK Litija 3 – 0 NK Svoboda Ljubljana
TRENDS
NK Litija have scored in 80% of their games.
NK Svoboda Ljubljana have scored in 40% of their games.
NK Litija kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
NK Svoboda Ljubljana kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head
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