Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Guadalajara have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Real Valladolid Promesas have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. CD Guadalajara score 2.5 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CD Guadalajara average 11.8 shots (5.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Real Valladolid Promesas score two and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Real Valladolid Promesas average 11.6 shots (4.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Guadalajara the likelier winners, but Real Valladolid Promesas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Valladolid Promesas.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Real Valladolid Promesas or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Real Valladolid Promesas (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).