CACDA

18:30Sat 24 Oct

REA

CD Atletico Paso vs Real Avila CF

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.

Form. CD Atletico Paso have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. Real Avila CF have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.

The numbers. CD Atletico Paso score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Atletico Paso average 5.3 shots (2.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Real Avila CF score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Real Avila CF average 11.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

The case against. Real Avila CF's record still gives them 26% to win.

The read. CD Atletico Paso to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Atletico Paso the likelier winners; CD Atletico Paso are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Atletico Paso. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Atletico Paso 3-0 Real Avila CF (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 6 of 7 (86%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)97.1%

CD Atletico Paso: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Avila CF: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 7 of 7 (100%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)100%

CD Atletico Paso: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Avila CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 5 of 7 (71%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)75.7%

CD Atletico Paso: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Avila CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 5 of 7 (71%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)65.7%

CD Atletico Paso: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Avila CF: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 66% · on half-time scores · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at Real Avila CF's level · Real Avila CF: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 3–0 13.5%

CD Atletico Paso goals →

Real Avila CF goals ↓

0-03%

1-08%

2-013%

3-014%

4-011%

5-07%

0-11%

1-14%

2-17%

3-17%

4-15%

5-13%

0-20.3%

1-21%

2-22%

3-22%

4-21%

5-20.8%

0-30.1%

1-30.2%

2-30.3%

3-30.3%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.0%

1-40.0%

2-40.0%

3-40.0%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD ATLETICO PASODWDLDLDWLD1.10 PPG

REAL AVILA CFWLLLLWWLDL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD ATLETICO PASO HOMExREAL AVILA CF AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.001.10CONCEDED A GAME2.0030%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.67CORNERS A GAME5.402.33CARDS A GAME3.20

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.86POINTS A GAME1.00-0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD ATLETICO PASO OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

REAL AVILA CF OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD ATLETICO PASOxREAL AVILA CF

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Atletico Paso have scored in 70% of their games.

Real Avila CF have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Atletico Paso kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Real Avila CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards