Coventry City vs Sunderland AFC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands.
What's at stake. Coventry City are 19th on 6 points after 8 games, level on points with Nottingham Forest, 1 point clear of Sunderland. A win would take them above Nottingham Forest. Sunderland AFC are 20th on 5 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Coventry. A win would take them above Coventry.
Form. Coventry City have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. Sunderland AFC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.
The numbers. Coventry City score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Coventry City average 9.2 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. Sunderland AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sunderland AFC average 13.1 shots (4.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Coventry City have won four, drawn four and lost one. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Coventry City won two, one was drawn and Sunderland AFC won one. The last time they met, on 9 May 2025, it finished Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland AFC: Coventry City had 14 shots to 10, 75% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Sunderland AFC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Coventry City; the meetings favour Coventry City. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Coventry City's record still gives them 52% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Sunderland AFC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Sunderland AFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Coventry City; the meetings favour Coventry City. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 73% on the records (Coventry City: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8; Sunderland AFC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Coventry City 1-1 Sunderland AFC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).