BOUBOU

16:00Sat 31 Oct

LEE

Bournemouth vs Leeds United

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset.

What's at stake. Bournemouth are 13th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ipswich, level on points with Tottenham. A win would take them above Ipswich. Leeds United are 7th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Brentford, level on points with Newcastle. A win would take them above Brentford.

Form. Bournemouth have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Leeds United have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W.

The numbers. Bournemouth score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last seven at home, with five clean sheets. Bournemouth average 16.3 shots (5.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Leeds United score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Leeds United average 9.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Bournemouth have won two, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Bournemouth won one, two were drawn and Leeds United won one. The last time they met, on 22 Apr 2026, it finished Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United: Bournemouth had 17 shots to 10, 60% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The case against. Leeds United's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Bournemouth or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bournemouth the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Seven of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Bournemouth or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.21

BOU 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 5 of 8 (62%)82.2%

Bournemouth: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leeds United: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

BOU 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 5 of 8 (62%)79%

Bournemouth: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leeds United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level

BOURNEMOUTH GOALS

Bournemouth Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.23

BOU 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 5 of 8 (62%)86.6%

Bournemouth scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leeds United conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.24

BOU 5 of 5 (100%) · LEE 6 of 8 (75%)86.5%

Bournemouth: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leeds United: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES

1.57

BOU 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 5 of 8 (62%)71.3%

Bournemouth's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leeds United's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Bournemouth goals →

Leeds United goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.9%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BOURNEMOUTHWWWWWLLWDW2.20 PPG

LEEDS UNITEDDDLDWLDDWW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BOURNEMOUTH HOMExLEEDS UNITED AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.121.62CONCEDED A GAME0.7560%CLEAN SHEETS40%12%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.63CORNERS A GAME4.132.70CARDS A GAME1.801.84xG1.341.17xG AGAINST1.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

LEEDS UNITED 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.12POINTS A GAME1.38-0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.38+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES8

Bournemouth: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

89%

OKAY · 85/90

BOURNEMOUTH OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

LEEDS UNITED OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BOURNEMOUTHxLEEDS UNITED

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.06.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

BOURNEMOUTH 2 · 25%DRAW 2LEEDS UNITED 4 · 50%

7 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

7 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

6 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2013-10-01Bournemouth 1 – 2 Leeds United

2014-03-25Bournemouth 4 – 1 Leeds United

2014-09-16Bournemouth 1 – 3 Leeds United

2015-01-20Bournemouth 0 – 1 Leeds United

2022-11-05Bournemouth 3 – 4 Leeds United

2023-04-30Bournemouth 4 – 1 Leeds United

2025-09-27Bournemouth 2 – 2 Leeds United

2026-04-22Bournemouth 2 – 2 Leeds United

TRENDS

Bournemouth have scored in 90% of their games.

Leeds United have scored in 80% of their games.

Bournemouth kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Leeds United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards