Match details. Copa Argentina, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 01:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Atletico Tucuman have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. CA Platense have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. In this competition CA Platense have gone W.
The numbers. Atletico Tucuman score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Tucuman average 10.2 shots (3.7 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. CA Platense score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CA Platense average 14.7 shots (4.4 on target), 7.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Atletico Tucuman have won three, drawn three and lost two. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Atletico Tucuman won one, two were drawn and CA Platense won one. The last time they met, on 4 Oct 2025, it finished Atletico Tucuman 2-0 CA Platense: Atletico Tucuman had 12 shots to 13, 51% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Atletico Tucuman or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Platense or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 CA Platense (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).