Match details. Greece Cup, Greek Cup - 4. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at AEL FC Arena, Larissa.
Form. AE Larissa FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. OFI Crete have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition OFI Crete have gone W.
The numbers. AE Larissa FC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AE Larissa FC average 10.0 shots (4.2 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game. OFI Crete score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. OFI Crete average 8.9 shots (3.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings AE Larissa FC have won two, drawn three and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, AE Larissa FC won one and OFI Crete won three. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished AE Larissa FC 0-3 OFI Crete: AE Larissa FC had 10 shots to 9, 48% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. AE Larissa FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. OFI Crete to win. A tight game. OFI Crete are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour OFI Crete. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: OFI Crete or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); OFI Crete Over 0.5 goals (AE Larissa FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); OFI Crete or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AE Larissa FC 0-1 OFI Crete (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).