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GREECE - GREECE CUP
AE Larissa FC crestALAEL
18:30Wed 28 Oct
OFIOFI Crete crestOC

AE Larissa FC vs OFI Crete

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Greece Cup, Greek Cup - 4. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at AEL FC Arena, Larissa.

Form. AE Larissa FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. OFI Crete have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition OFI Crete have gone W.

The numbers. AE Larissa FC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AE Larissa FC average 10.0 shots (4.2 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game. OFI Crete score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. OFI Crete average 8.9 shots (3.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings AE Larissa FC have won two, drawn three and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, AE Larissa FC won one and OFI Crete won three. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished AE Larissa FC 0-3 OFI Crete: AE Larissa FC had 10 shots to 9, 48% of the ball, four yellow cards.

The case against. AE Larissa FC's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. OFI Crete to win. A tight game. OFI Crete are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour OFI Crete. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: OFI Crete or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); OFI Crete Over 0.5 goals (AE Larissa FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); OFI Crete or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AE Larissa FC 0-1 OFI Crete (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
OFI Crete or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
AEL 6 of 10 (60%) · OFI 5 of 5 (100%)78.3%
OFI Crete: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AE Larissa FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6
OFI Crete win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
AEL 8 of 10 (80%) · OFI 2 of 5 (40%)68.3%
OFI Crete: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AE Larissa FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6
OFI Crete or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
AEL 2 of 5 (40%) · OFI 5 of 10 (50%)55.8%
AE Larissa FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 6
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEL 5 of 5 (100%) · OFI 9 of 10 (90%)96.3%
AE Larissa FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · OFI Crete: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEL 5 of 5 (100%) · OFI 9 of 10 (90%)92.1%
AE Larissa FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · OFI Crete: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
AEL 4 of 5 (80%) · OFI 8 of 10 (80%)79.6%
AE Larissa FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · OFI Crete: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6
AE LARISSA FC GOALS
AE Larissa FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
AEL 3 of 5 (60%) · OFI 6 of 10 (60%)54.6%
AE Larissa FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · OFI Crete conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 6
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
AEL 3 of 5 (60%) · OFI 8 of 10 (80%)70.4%
AE Larissa FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · OFI Crete: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEL 4 of 5 (80%) · OFI 7 of 8 (88%)83.8%
AE Larissa FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · OFI Crete's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84%
Left off the list: OFI Crete or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); OFI Crete Over 0.5 goals (AE Larissa FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); OFI Crete or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 11.1%
AE Larissa FC goals →
OFI Crete goals ↓
0-010%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.7%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
AE LARISSA FCLDWDWWDLDD1.40 PPG
OFI CRETEWWWWDLLLLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AE LARISSA FC HOMExOFI CRETE AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE12%3.30CORNERS A GAME4.253.20CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.62POINTS A GAME1.43+0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14+4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES7
AE Larissa FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AE LARISSA FC OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
OFI CRETE OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AE LARISSA FCxOFI CRETE
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME2.001.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.47.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
AE LARISSA FC 2 · 22%DRAW 3OFI CRETE 4 · 44%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2018-10-27AE Larissa FC 0 – 0 OFI Crete
2019-03-03AE Larissa FC 0 – 0 OFI Crete
2019-11-03AE Larissa FC 3 – 2 OFI Crete
2020-02-01AE Larissa FC 0 – 0 OFI Crete
2020-12-12AE Larissa FC 0 – 1 OFI Crete
2021-03-06AE Larissa FC 3 – 2 OFI Crete
2021-04-24AE Larissa FC 0 – 1 OFI Crete
2025-11-24AE Larissa FC 1 – 2 OFI Crete
TRENDS
AE Larissa FC have scored in 70% of their games.
OFI Crete have scored in 70% of their games.
AE Larissa FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
OFI Crete kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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