Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 21:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras. The referee is Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca.
What's at stake. SCU Torreense are 16th on 6 points after 7 games, level on points with Felgueiras 1932, 1 point clear of Amarante. A win would take them above Felgueiras 1932. Amarante FC are 17th on 5 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Torreense, 3 points clear of Feirense. A win would take them above Torreense.
Form. SCU Torreense have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. Amarante FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.
The numbers. SCU Torreense score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. SCU Torreense average 9.0 shots (3.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Amarante FC score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Amarante FC average 9.0 shots (3.9 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The case against. Amarante FC's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. SCU Torreense or the draw. A tight game. Amarante FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 75% on the records (SCU Torreense: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; Amarante FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: SCU Torreense or Draw at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SCU Torreense or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SCU Torreense 1-1 Amarante FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).