Match details. 1. Liga, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Viktoria Plzen have won three, drawn none and lost five of their last eight league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W W. FC Prague Raptors have won four, drawn none and lost three of their last seven league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. FC Viktoria Plzen score one and concede 2.6 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Viktoria Plzen average 8.2 shots (3.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.2 cards a game. FC Prague Raptors score one and concede one a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Prague Raptors average 10.6 shots (5.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. FC Viktoria Plzen's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. FC Prague Raptors to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Prague Raptors the likelier winners; FC Prague Raptors are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Prague Raptors. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Viktoria Plzen 1-2 FC Prague Raptors (10% chance).
The agreed story. FC Prague Raptors or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).