Viamaterasu Miyazaki vs Orca Kamogawa FC
Match details. Nadeshiko League, Div. 1, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Viamaterasu Miyazaki have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L W. Orca Kamogawa FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L D.
The numbers. Viamaterasu Miyazaki score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Viamaterasu Miyazaki average 5.2 corners and 0.2 cards a game. Orca Kamogawa FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Orca Kamogawa FC average 3.0 corners and 0.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Orca Kamogawa FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Orca Kamogawa FC the likelier winners; Orca Kamogawa FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Orca Kamogawa FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Viamaterasu Miyazaki 1-2 Orca Kamogawa FC (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Orca Kamogawa FC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).