OYOKA

05:00Sun 25 Oct

NGU

Okayama Yunogo Belle vs NGU Loveledge Nagoya

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Nadeshiko League, Div. 1, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.

Form. Okayama Yunogo Belle have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W D. NGU Loveledge Nagoya have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L W W L.

The numbers. Okayama Yunogo Belle score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Okayama Yunogo Belle average 4.0 corners and 0.2 cards a game. NGU Loveledge Nagoya score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. NGU Loveledge Nagoya average 5.5 corners and 0.2 cards a game.

The case against. Okayama Yunogo Belle's record still gives them 34% to win.

The read. NGU Loveledge Nagoya to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make NGU Loveledge Nagoya the likelier winners; NGU Loveledge Nagoya are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Okayama Yunogo Belle 1-2 NGU Loveledge Nagoya (10% chance).

The agreed story. NGU Loveledge Nagoya or the draw, an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

NGU Loveledge Nagoya or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NGU 4 of 6 (67%) · OKA 3 of 6 (50%)59.9%

NGU Loveledge Nagoya: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Okayama Yunogo Belle: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 60% · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: only games against sides at Okayama Yunogo Belle's level · Okayama Yunogo Belle: only games against sides at NGU Loveledge Nagoya's level

NGU Loveledge Nagoya (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 80%

1.25

NGU 3 of 5 (60%) · OKA 4 of 8 (50%)56.4%

NGU Loveledge Nagoya won 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · Okayama Yunogo Belle lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 56% · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: only games against sides at Okayama Yunogo Belle's level · Okayama Yunogo Belle: only games against sides at NGU Loveledge Nagoya's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 4

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OKA 5 of 6 (83%) · NGU 5 of 6 (83%)83.9%

Okayama Yunogo Belle: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · Okayama Yunogo Belle: only games against sides at NGU Loveledge Nagoya's level · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: only games against sides at Okayama Yunogo Belle's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OKA 5 of 6 (83%) · NGU 4 of 6 (67%)77.7%

Okayama Yunogo Belle: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Okayama Yunogo Belle: only games against sides at NGU Loveledge Nagoya's level · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: only games against sides at Okayama Yunogo Belle's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.78

OKA 3 of 6 (50%) · NGU 3 of 6 (50%)52.7%

Okayama Yunogo Belle: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · Okayama Yunogo Belle: only games against sides at NGU Loveledge Nagoya's level · NGU Loveledge Nagoya: only games against sides at Okayama Yunogo Belle's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Okayama Yunogo Belle Over 0.5 Goals (NGU Loveledge Nagoya's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); NGU Loveledge Nagoya Over 0.5 Goals (NGU Loveledge Nagoya's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.6%

Okayama Yunogo Belle goals →

NGU Loveledge Nagoya goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.7%

1-50.8%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

OKAYAMA YUNOGO BELLELDLWDLLWWW1.40 PPG

NGU LOVELEDGE NAGOYADLWWLLDWWW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OKAYAMA YUNOGO BELLE HOMExNGU LOVELEDGE NAGOYA AWAY

1.48SCORED A GAME2.001.71CONCEDED A GAME0.9570%BOTH SCORED30%30%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.450.18CARDS A GAME0.18

TRENDS

Okayama Yunogo Belle have scored in 90% of their games.

NGU Loveledge Nagoya have scored in 50% of their games.

Okayama Yunogo Belle kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

NGU Loveledge Nagoya kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards