Match details. Nadeshiko League, Div. 1, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. AS Harima Albion have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L D. Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W W.
The numbers. AS Harima Albion score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AS Harima Albion average 3.4 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls average 4.2 corners and 0.1 cards a game.
The case against. AS Harima Albion's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls the likelier winners; Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AS Harima Albion 1-2 Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls (10% chance).
The agreed story. Nippatsu Yokohama FC Seagulls or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).