Match details. 3. Division, Group 5. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Finnsnes IL have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. Harstad have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. Finnsnes IL score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Finnsnes IL average 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Harstad score three and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Harstad average 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. Harstad to win. An open game. Harstad are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Harstad. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Harstad or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Finnsnes IL 1-2 Harstad (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Harstad or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 9 of 9 (100%) · HAR 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Harstad: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Finnsnes IL: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · Harstad: only games against sides at Finnsnes IL's level · Finnsnes IL: only games against sides at Harstad's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 5 of 5 (100%) · HAR 9 of 9 (100%)93.9%
Finnsnes IL: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Harstad: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Finnsnes IL: only games against sides at Harstad's level · Harstad: only games against sides at Finnsnes IL's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 4 of 5 (80%) · HAR 8 of 9 (89%)79%
Finnsnes IL: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Harstad: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Finnsnes IL: only games against sides at Harstad's level · Harstad: only games against sides at Finnsnes IL's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 3 of 5 (60%) · HAR 8 of 9 (89%)55.3%
Finnsnes IL: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Harstad: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Finnsnes IL: only games against sides at Harstad's level · Harstad: only games against sides at Finnsnes IL's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
FIN 3 of 5 (60%) · HAR 8 of 9 (89%)59.1%
Finnsnes IL: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Harstad: both scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Finnsnes IL: only games against sides at Harstad's level · Harstad: only games against sides at Finnsnes IL's level
FINNSNES IL GOALS
Finnsnes IL Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 4 of 5 (80%) · HAR 8 of 9 (89%)75.9%
Finnsnes IL scored in 4 of 5 at home · Harstad conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Finnsnes IL: only games against sides at Harstad's level · Harstad: only games against sides at Finnsnes IL's level
HARSTAD GOALS
Harstad Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FIN 9 of 9 (100%) · HAR 4 of 5 (80%)77%
Harstad scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Finnsnes IL conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Harstad: only games against sides at Finnsnes IL's level · Finnsnes IL: only games against sides at Harstad's level
Left off the list: Harstad or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (69%) and the records (90%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.5%
Finnsnes IL goals →
Harstad goals ↓
0-06%
1-07%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FINNSNES ILWDDWLLLLWL1.10 PPG
HARSTADWWDLWWWWLW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FINNSNES IL HOMExHARSTAD AWAY
1.88SCORED A GAME3.291.58CONCEDED A GAME1.5880%BOTH SCORED80%10%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.40CORNERS A GAME5.002.40CARDS A GAME2.25
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.60POINTS A GAME2.55+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.55–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES11
Harstad: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 85/90
FINNSNES IL OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
HARSTAD OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FINNSNES ILxHARSTAD
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME3.202.00CONCEDED A GAME1.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Finnsnes IL have scored in 90% of their games.
Harstad have scored in 90% of their games.
Finnsnes IL kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Harstad kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards