VARVAR

14:00Sat 24 Oct

FOE

FOE

Varegg vs Foerde

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. 3. Division, Group 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Varegg have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. Foerde have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.

The numbers. Varegg score two and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Varegg average 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Foerde score 1.6 and concede 3.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Foerde average 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. Foerde's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. Varegg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Varegg the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Varegg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Varegg or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Foerde or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Varegg); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Varegg 2-1 Foerde (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Varegg or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 5 of 5 (100%) · FOE 8 of 8 (100%)100%

Varegg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Foerde: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Varegg: only games against sides at Foerde's level · Foerde: only games against sides at Varegg's level

Double Chance: Varegg or FoerdeIN CODES

1.16

VAR 5 of 5 (100%) · FOE 6 of 8 (75%)75.5%

Varegg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Foerde: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Varegg: only games against sides at Foerde's level · Foerde: only games against sides at Varegg's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 5 of 5 (100%) · FOE 8 of 8 (100%)94.2%

Varegg: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Foerde: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Varegg: only games against sides at Foerde's level · Foerde: only games against sides at Varegg's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 5 of 5 (100%) · FOE 8 of 8 (100%)79.8%

Varegg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Foerde: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Varegg: only games against sides at Foerde's level · Foerde: only games against sides at Varegg's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 4 of 5 (80%) · FOE 6 of 8 (75%)56.5%

Varegg: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Foerde: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Varegg: only games against sides at Foerde's level · Foerde: only games against sides at Varegg's level

VAREGG GOALS

Varegg Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 5 of 5 (100%) · FOE 8 of 8 (100%)83%

Varegg scored in 5 of 5 at home · Foerde conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Varegg: only games against sides at Foerde's level · Foerde: only games against sides at Varegg's level

Left off the list: Varegg or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (73%) and the records (94%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Foerde or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Varegg); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Foerde or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Varegg)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.7%

Varegg goals →

Foerde goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-08%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-24%

1-26%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

VAREGGLLWWDWDLLL1.10 PPG

FOERDELLWDLDLLDW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VAREGG HOMExFOERDE AWAY

1.58SCORED A GAME1.832.04CONCEDED A GAME2.2590%BOTH SCORED70%10%CLEAN SHEETS0%3.25CORNERS A GAME4.251.75CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME1.18-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.18–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.812LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

VAREGG OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

FOERDE OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

VAREGGxFOERDE

5GAMES62.00SCORED A GAME1.502.00CONCEDED A GAME3.334.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%80%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Varegg have scored in 100% of their games.

Foerde have scored in 70% of their games.

Varegg kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Foerde kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards