Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 12, Group 12 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Estrella CF have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Real Union de Tenerife Santa Cruz have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. Estrella CF score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Estrella CF average 2.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Real Union de Tenerife Santa Cruz score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Union de Tenerife Santa Cruz average 10.4 shots (3.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Estrella CF the likelier winners, but Real Union de Tenerife Santa Cruz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Estrella CF.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Estrella CF 1-1 Real Union de Tenerife Santa Cruz (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).