SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
19:00Sun 25 Oct
MAR
MF
CD Xerez vs Marbella FC
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Xerez have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. Marbella FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. CD Xerez score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Xerez average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Marbella FC score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Marbella FC average 10.8 shots (5.7 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Xerez or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Xerez 1-1 Marbella FC (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: CD Xerez or DrawIN CODES
1.19
CDX 4 of 6 (67%) · MAR 6 of 7 (86%)72%
CD Xerez unbeaten in 4 of 6 at home · Marbella FC failed to win 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
CD Xerez or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 3 of 5 (60%) · MAR 4 of 6 (67%)64.4%
CD Xerez scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Marbella FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 6 of 6 (100%) · MAR 7 of 7 (100%)95.6%
CD Xerez: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Marbella FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 6 of 6 (100%) · MAR 6 of 7 (86%)88.7%
CD Xerez: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Marbella FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 6 of 6 (100%) · MAR 5 of 7 (71%)75.1%
CD Xerez: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Marbella FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
CDX 4 of 6 (67%) · MAR 4 of 7 (57%)53.6%
CD Xerez: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Marbella FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
CD XEREZ GOALS
CD Xerez Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 4 of 6 (67%) · MAR 5 of 7 (71%)76.3%
CD Xerez scored in 4 of 6 at home · Marbella FC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 6 of 6 (100%) · MAR 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
CD Xerez: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Marbella FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 6 of 6 (100%) · MAR 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
CD Xerez: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Marbella FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 6 of 6 (100%) · MAR 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
CD Xerez's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Marbella FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level
Left off the list: CD Xerez or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
CD Xerez goals →
Marbella FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD XEREZWDDDLDLWDL1.10 PPG
MARBELLA FCLLWDLWDLLD0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD XEREZ HOMExMARBELLA FC AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.100.70CONCEDED A GAME1.7040%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.50CORNERS A GAME3.172.17CARDS A GAME3.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.86POINTS A GAME0.86-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.43–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD XEREZ OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
MARBELLA FC OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD XEREZxMARBELLA FC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME0.801.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Xerez have scored in 50% of their games.
Marbella FC have scored in 40% of their games.
CD Xerez kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Marbella FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards