Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Castellon B have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. CF La Nucia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. CD Castellon B score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Castellon B average 13.0 shots (6.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game. CF La Nucia score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF La Nucia average 10.0 shots (4.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. CD Castellon B's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. CF La Nucia to win. An open game. CF La Nucia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF La Nucia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CD Castellon B 1-2 CF La Nucia (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 8 of 8 (100%) · CFL 6 of 6 (100%)100%
CD Castellon B: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Nucia: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Castellon B: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CD Castellon B's level
CF LA NUCIA GOALS
CF La Nucia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 6 (83%) · CFL 7 of 8 (88%)85.4%
CF La Nucia scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Castellon B conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CD Castellon B's level · CD Castellon B: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 6 (83%) · CFL 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
CD Castellon B's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Nucia's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · CD Castellon B: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CD Castellon B's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (63%) and the records (85%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.6%
CD Castellon B goals →
CF La Nucia goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD CASTELLON BLWLLLWWWWL1.50 PPG
CF LA NUCIAWDDWWWWWLL2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD CASTELLON B HOMExCF LA NUCIA AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME0.7010%CLEAN SHEETS60%5.14CORNERS A GAME4.623.14CARDS A GAME2.38
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.80POINTS A GAME1.80+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.21.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES5
CD Castellon B: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 85/90
CD CASTELLON B OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
CF LA NUCIA OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD CASTELLON BxCF LA NUCIA
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Castellon B have scored in 90% of their games.
CF La Nucia have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Castellon B kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
CF La Nucia kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards