Wollongong Wolves FC vs South Hobart FC
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at WIN Stadium, Wollongong.
What's at stake. Wollongong Wolves FC are 3rd on 2 points after 1 game, 1 point clear of Canberra FC. South Hobart FC are 1st on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Sutherland Sharks.
Form. Wollongong Wolves FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. South Hobart FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition South Hobart FC have gone W.
The numbers. Wollongong Wolves FC score 1.5 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Wollongong Wolves FC average 11.7 shots (4.7 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game. South Hobart FC score 2.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. South Hobart FC average 18.4 shots (8.6 on target), 8.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. Wollongong Wolves FC have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 2 Nov 2025, it finished Wollongong Wolves FC 3-2 South Hobart FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 18% against the records' 69%.
The read. No firm call: South Hobart FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make South Hobart FC the likelier winners; South Hobart FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour South Hobart FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.37, 76% on the records (Wollongong Wolves FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; South Hobart FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: South Hobart FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.42. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Wollongong Wolves FC 1-2 South Hobart FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).