Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 5. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 02:05 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio La Independencia, Tunja. The referee is Diego Ulloa Angulo.
What's at stake. Boyaca Chico FC are 16th on 15 points after 15 games, level on points with Junior, 1 point clear of Deportivo Pereira. A win would take them above Junior. CD Junior FC are 15th on 15 points after 15 games, 2 points behind Llaneros, level on points with Chico. A win would take them above Llaneros.
Team news. D. Denis is their first-choice keeper. J. Molina is their top scorer. E. Sarria is their main creator. J. Díaz is their centre-back. Juan Quiceno is their centre-back. Boyaca Chico FC's line-up is confirmed. M. Silveira is their first-choice keeper. L. Muriel is their top scorer. G. Paiva is their main creator. Y. Súarez is their centre-back. J. Peña is their centre-back. CD Junior FC's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Boyaca Chico FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Boyaca Chico FC have gone W L L L D W. CD Junior FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. In this competition CD Junior FC have gone W D D D L L.
The numbers. Boyaca Chico FC score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets. Boyaca Chico FC average 9.2 shots (3.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. CD Junior FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Junior FC average 14.0 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Boyaca Chico FC have won three, drawn two and lost five. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CD Junior FC won four. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished Boyaca Chico FC 0-3 CD Junior FC: Boyaca Chico FC had 5 shots to 21, 39% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. CD Junior FC without M. Silveira (keeper), L. Muriel (striker), G. Paiva (creator), Y. Súarez (centre-back), J. Peña (centre-back). Boyaca Chico FC's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. CD Junior FC or the draw. An open game. CD Junior FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CD Junior FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.35, 73% on the records (Boyaca Chico FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 at home; CD Junior FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: CD Junior FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Boyaca Chico FC 1-2 CD Junior FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).