Etehad Alreef vs AL Bahrain
Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Etehad Alreef have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. AL Bahrain have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.
The numbers. Etehad Alreef score 0.5 and concede three a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Etehad Alreef average 7.3 shots (3.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game. AL Bahrain score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Bahrain average 9.0 shots (3.1 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: AL Bahrain are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AL Bahrain the likelier winners; AL Bahrain are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Bahrain. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.43, 73% on the records (Etehad Alreef: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10; AL Bahrain: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: AL Bahrain Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Etehad Alreef 1-2 AL Bahrain (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).