Match details. NB I, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Budapest Honved FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W. MTK Hungaria Budapest have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. Budapest Honved FC score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Budapest Honved FC average 3.1 corners and 0.9 cards a game. MTK Hungaria Budapest score 2.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. MTK Hungaria Budapest average 6.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The case against. MTK Hungaria Budapest's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Budapest Honved FC to win. Budapest Honved FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Budapest Honved FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Budapest Honved FC 2-1 MTK Hungaria Budapest (8% chance).
The agreed story. Budapest Honved FC or the draw, goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).