US Citta Di Pontedera vs Oltrepo FBC
Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Citta Di Pontedera have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Oltrepo FBC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. US Citta Di Pontedera score 0.7 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. US Citta Di Pontedera average 7.7 shots (2.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Oltrepo FBC score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Oltrepo FBC average 5.6 shots (1.8 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 63%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The read. No firm call: Oltrepo FBC are the better side, but not at this price. Oltrepo FBC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Oltrepo FBC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: US Citta Di Pontedera 1-1 Oltrepo FBC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).