AHAST

13:30Sun 25 Oct

UJP

Astra HFC Budapest vs Ujpesti TE

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. NB I, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.

Form. Astra HFC Budapest have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L L. Ujpesti TE have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L W.

The numbers. Astra HFC Budapest score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Astra HFC Budapest average 2.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Ujpesti TE score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ujpesti TE average 5.5 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No firm call: Ujpesti TE are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Ujpesti TE the likelier winners; Ujpesti TE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ujpesti TE.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Astra HFC Budapest 1-1 Ujpesti TE (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Ujpesti TE the favourite), goals in between.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AST 5 of 6 (83%) · UJP 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%

Astra HFC Budapest: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Ujpesti TE: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Astra HFC Budapest: only games against sides at Ujpesti TE's level · Ujpesti TE: only games against sides at Astra HFC Budapest's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AST 5 of 6 (83%) · UJP 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%

Astra HFC Budapest: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Ujpesti TE: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Astra HFC Budapest: only games against sides at Ujpesti TE's level · Ujpesti TE: only games against sides at Astra HFC Budapest's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AST 5 of 6 (83%) · UJP 3 of 5 (60%)53.1%

Astra HFC Budapest: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Ujpesti TE: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Astra HFC Budapest: only games against sides at Ujpesti TE's level · Ujpesti TE: only games against sides at Astra HFC Budapest's level

UJPESTI TE GOALS

Ujpesti TE Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UJP 3 of 5 (60%) · AST 5 of 6 (83%)56.4%

Ujpesti TE scored in 3 of 5 away · Astra HFC Budapest conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · Ujpesti TE: only games against sides at Astra HFC Budapest's level · Astra HFC Budapest: only games against sides at Ujpesti TE's level

Left off the list: Ujpesti TE Over 1.5 Goals (Ujpesti TE's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Astra HFC Budapest goals →

Ujpesti TE goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-35%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.9%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

ASTRA HFC BUDAPESTWLLLLLWDLD0.80 PPG

UJPESTI TEWWWLWWWDWL2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASTRA HFC BUDAPEST HOMExUJPESTI TE AWAY

0.82SCORED A GAME2.181.64CONCEDED A GAME0.6450%BOTH SCORED40%20%CLEAN SHEETS40%2.10CORNERS A GAME5.451.00CARDS A GAME1.09

TRENDS

Astra HFC Budapest have scored in 50% of their games.

Ujpesti TE have scored in 80% of their games.

Astra HFC Budapest kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Ujpesti TE kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards