Nairobi United FC vs Aps Bomet FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Nairobi United FC are 11th on 2 points after 2 games, level on points with 3K, level on points with Migori Youth. A win would take them above 3K. Aps Bomet FC are 17th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Kenya Police, 1 point clear of Mombasa Elite. A win would take them above Kenya Police.
Form. Nairobi United FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. In this competition Nairobi United FC have gone D D W D D L. Aps Bomet FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. In this competition Aps Bomet FC have gone L D D W W W.
The numbers. Nairobi United FC score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nairobi United FC average 9.2 shots (2.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Aps Bomet FC score 1.5 and concede 0.2 a game in their last six away, with five clean sheets. Aps Bomet FC average 7.8 shots (2.9 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Nairobi United FC have won one, drawn two and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished Nairobi United FC 0-0 Aps Bomet FC.
The case against. Aps Bomet FC's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Nairobi United FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Aps Bomet FC the likelier winners; Aps Bomet FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 86% on the records (Nairobi United FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Aps Bomet FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: Nairobi United FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nairobi United FC 0-0 Aps Bomet FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).