Match details. Goiano, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Alianca FC GO have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Planalto EC GO have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Alianca FC GO score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Alianca FC GO average 2.6 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Planalto EC GO score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Planalto EC GO average 8.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The read. Planalto EC GO to win. Their goals for and against make Planalto EC GO the likelier winners; Planalto EC GO are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Planalto EC GO.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Alianca FC GO 1-2 Planalto EC GO (10% chance).
The agreed story. Planalto EC GO or the draw, goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).