Match details. Gaucho, Serie B. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Real SC Tramandai RS have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. Sao Paulo RS have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Real SC Tramandai RS score 0.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Real SC Tramandai RS average 6.1 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Sao Paulo RS score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Sao Paulo RS average 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 21% against the records' 83%.
The read. No firm call: Sao Paulo RS are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sao Paulo RS the likelier winners; Sao Paulo RS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sao Paulo RS. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Real SC Tramandai RS 1-2 Sao Paulo RS (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Sao Paulo RS the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).