SKN St. Polten W vs SK Rapid Wien
Match details. Bundesliga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. SKN St. Polten W have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. SK Rapid Wien have won one, drawn four and lost four of their last nine, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. SKN St. Polten W score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. SKN St. Polten W average 11.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.5 cards a game. SK Rapid Wien score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. SK Rapid Wien average 5.6 shots (3.8 on target), 1.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: SKN St. Polten W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make SKN St. Polten W the likelier winners; SKN St. Polten W are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SKN St. Polten W 2-1 SK Rapid Wien (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SKN St. Polten W the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).