FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue

Match details. Regionalliga Northeast, Nordost - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at GGZ-Arena Zwickau.

What's at stake. FSV Zwickau are 9th on 19 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Erzgebirge Aue, 2 points clear of Lokomotive Leipzig. A win would take them above Erzgebirge Aue. Erzgebirge Aue are 8th on 21 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Greifswalder FC, 2 points clear of FSV Zwickau. A win would take them above Greifswalder FC.

Form. FSV Zwickau have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. In this competition FSV Zwickau have gone D W D L L D. Erzgebirge Aue have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. In this competition Erzgebirge Aue have gone L L L D W W.

The numbers. FSV Zwickau score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Erzgebirge Aue score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last two meetings FSV Zwickau have won one, drawn none and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2023, it finished FSV Zwickau 0-2 Erzgebirge Aue: FSV Zwickau had 13 shots to 9, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The case against. Erzgebirge Aue's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. FSV Zwickau to win. FSV Zwickau are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FSV Zwickau.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FSV Zwickau or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); FSV Zwickau or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); FSV Zwickau or Both Teams Score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FSV Zwickau 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue (10% chance).