FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg
Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt. The referee is Lukas Benen.
What's at stake. FC Ingolstadt 04 are 9th on 14 points after 10 games, level on points with Alemannia Aachen, level on points with Fortuna Düsseldorf. A win would take them above Alemannia Aachen. MSV Duisburg are 1st on 25 points after 10 games, 4 points clear of Rot-Weiß Essen.
Form. FC Ingolstadt 04 have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition FC Ingolstadt 04 have gone W W L L L W. MSV Duisburg have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition MSV Duisburg have gone D W W W W L.
The numbers. FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Ingolstadt 04 average 13.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. MSV Duisburg score three and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. MSV Duisburg average 14.9 shots (6.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Ingolstadt 04 have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Ingolstadt 04 won two, one was drawn and MSV Duisburg won one. The last time they met, on 4 Mar 2026, it finished FC Ingolstadt 04 0-0 MSV Duisburg: FC Ingolstadt 04 had 12 shots to 6, 65% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: MSV Duisburg are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour MSV Duisburg; the meetings favour FC Ingolstadt 04.
The case against. FC Ingolstadt 04's record still gives them 33% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. MSV Duisburg or the draw. An open game. MSV Duisburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MSV Duisburg; the meetings favour FC Ingolstadt 04. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (FC Ingolstadt 04: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; MSV Duisburg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); MSV Duisburg or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 MSV Duisburg (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).