Match details. III Liga, Group 4. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Moravia Morawica have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Moravia Morawica score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Moravia Morawica average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Siarka Tarnobrzeg score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Siarka Tarnobrzeg average 3.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Siarka Tarnobrzeg or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Siarka Tarnobrzeg or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Moravia Morawica 2-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).