MSMET

23:00Sat 24 Oct

NAC

Metropolitano SC vs Nacao SC

CLASS D

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DOUBLE CHANCE

Class D

MSv

Double Chance: Metropolitano SC or…

Metropolitano SC v Nacao SC

Brazil - Copa Santa… · 23:00

1.15odds

87%book

-10edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Copa Santa Catarina, Group Stage - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.

Form. Metropolitano SC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. Nacao SC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L.

The numbers. Metropolitano SC score 2.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Metropolitano SC average 13.8 shots (5.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Nacao SC score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Nacao SC average 9.9 shots (3.3 on target), 2.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Metropolitano SC have won two, drawn two and lost one. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Metropolitano SC won two, one was drawn and Nacao SC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Jul 2026, it finished Metropolitano SC 0-0 Nacao SC.

The case against. Nacao SC's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. Metropolitano SC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Metropolitano SC the likelier winners; Metropolitano SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Metropolitano SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Metropolitano SC or Draw at 1.15, rated 76% (Metropolitano SC unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Nacao SC failed to win 9 of 10). Predicted score: Metropolitano SC 2-1 Nacao SC (10% chance).

The agreed story. Metropolitano SC or the draw, an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Metropolitano SC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MET 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 8 of 10 (80%)77.3%

Metropolitano SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Nacao SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 5

Metropolitano SC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

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MET 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 8 of 10 (80%)77.3%

Metropolitano SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Nacao SC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 5

Double Chance: Metropolitano SC or DrawMAININ CODES

1.15

MET 3 of 5 (60%) · NAC 9 of 10 (90%)77.3%

Metropolitano SC unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Nacao SC failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 5

Metropolitano SC (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.22

MET 3 of 5 (60%) · NAC 5 of 6 (83%)71.3%

Metropolitano SC won 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Nacao SC lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 3 · won 5, refunded 1, lost 3

Metropolitano SC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

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MET 3 of 5 (60%) · NAC 4 of 8 (50%)71%

Metropolitano SC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nacao SC trailed or failed to win in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues)

Metropolitano SC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

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MET 3 of 5 (60%) · NAC 6 of 10 (60%)54.8%

Metropolitano SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Nacao SC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 2 of 5

Metropolitano SC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

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MET 3 of 5 (60%) · NAC 4 of 8 (50%)47.2%

Metropolitano SC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nacao SC trailed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MET 5 of 5 (100%) · NAC 9 of 10 (90%)86.3%

Metropolitano SC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nacao SC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 5

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

MET 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 7 of 10 (70%)72.3%

Metropolitano SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Nacao SC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 5

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.71

MET 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 6 of 10 (60%)67.3%

Metropolitano SC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Nacao SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 5

METROPOLITANO SC GOALS

Metropolitano SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MET 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 8 of 10 (80%)76.3%

Metropolitano SC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Nacao SC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 5

Metropolitano SC Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

MET 4 of 5 (80%) · NAC 6 of 10 (60%)67.3%

Metropolitano SC scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Nacao SC conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 5

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

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MET 6 of 8 (75%) · NAC 5 of 7 (71%)73.2%

Metropolitano SC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nacao SC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73%

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.7%

Metropolitano SC goals →

Nacao SC goals ↓

0-04%

1-07%

2-08%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01%

0-14%

1-19%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-21%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-32%

4-31.0%

5-30.4%

0-40.3%

1-40.7%

2-40.7%

3-40.5%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

METROPOLITANO SCLWWWLLWLDW1.60 PPG

NACAO SCDWLDLLDLDL0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

METROPOLITANO SC HOMExNACAO SC AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME1.101.80CONCEDED A GAME1.7040%CLEAN SHEETS20%17%FAILED TO SCORE57%5.38CORNERS A GAME2.432.00CARDS A GAME2.57

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

METROPOLITANO SC 2 · 40%DRAW 2NACAO SC 1 · 20%

3 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-06-04Metropolitano SC 0 – 0 Nacao SC

2023-07-23Metropolitano SC 2 – 3 Nacao SC

2025-06-15Metropolitano SC 4 – 2 Nacao SC

2026-05-06Metropolitano SC 5 – 2 Nacao SC

2026-07-01Metropolitano SC 0 – 0 Nacao SC

TRENDS

Metropolitano SC have scored in 90% of their games.

Nacao SC have scored in 60% of their games.

Metropolitano SC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Nacao SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards