Hercilio Luz FC SC vs Blumenau EC SC
Match details. Copa Santa Catarina, Group Stage - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hercilio Luz FC SC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Blumenau EC SC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L.
The numbers. Hercilio Luz FC SC score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Hercilio Luz FC SC average 11.6 shots (4.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Blumenau EC SC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Blumenau EC SC average 10.1 shots (3.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Hercilio Luz FC SC have won one, drawn none and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 12 Jul 2026, it finished Hercilio Luz FC SC 2-0 Blumenau EC SC.
The case against. Blumenau EC SC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Hercilio Luz FC SC to win. A tight game. Hercilio Luz FC SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hercilio Luz FC SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Hercilio Luz FC SC or Draw at 1.16, rated 78% (Hercilio Luz FC SC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Blumenau EC SC failed to win 3 of 5 away). Predicted score: Hercilio Luz FC SC 1-0 Blumenau EC SC (11% chance).
The agreed story. Hercilio Luz FC SC or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).