Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varazdin. The referee is Ante Terzic.
What's at stake. NK Varazdin are 3rd on 18 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Dinamo Zagreb, 1 point clear of NK Osijek. A win would take them above Dinamo Zagreb. NK Slaven Belupo are 8th on 10 points after 10 games, level on points with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, 3 points clear of Rudes. A win would take them above NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Form. NK Varazdin have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. In this competition NK Varazdin have gone L W D D D W. NK Slaven Belupo have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition NK Slaven Belupo have gone L W D L W L.
The numbers. NK Varazdin score 1.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Varazdin average 12.5 shots (3.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. NK Slaven Belupo score 0.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. NK Slaven Belupo average 12.4 shots (4.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings NK Varazdin have won five, drawn one and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, NK Varazdin won three and NK Slaven Belupo won one. The last time they met, on 9 Aug 2026, it finished NK Varazdin 4-1 NK Slaven Belupo: NK Varazdin had 24 shots to 12, 43% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. NK Varazdin to win. Their goals for and against make NK Varazdin the likelier winners; NK Varazdin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Varazdin; the meetings favour NK Varazdin.
The bets. Best bet: NK Varazdin or Draw at 1.19, 76% on the records (NK Varazdin unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; NK Slaven Belupo failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: NK Varazdin or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (NK Varazdin are a clear winner, no Unders); NK Varazdin or draw and under 3.5 goals (NK Varazdin are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (NK Varazdin are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: NK Varazdin 1-0 NK Slaven Belupo (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).