Match details. Copa Santa Catarina, Group Stage - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Figueirense FC SC have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Joinville EC SC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Figueirense FC SC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Figueirense FC SC average 12.0 shots (4.2 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Joinville EC SC score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Joinville EC SC average 5.7 shots (2.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 4.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Figueirense FC SC have won six, drawn four and lost none. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Figueirense FC SC won four. The last time they met, on 27 Feb 2026, it finished Figueirense FC SC 3-0 Joinville EC SC.
The read. Figueirense FC SC to win. An open game. Figueirense FC SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Figueirense FC SC; the meetings favour Figueirense FC SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Figueirense FC SC or Draw at 1.21, rated 84% (Figueirense FC SC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Joinville EC SC failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Figueirense FC SC 2-1 Joinville EC SC (9% chance).
The agreed story. Figueirense FC SC or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).