Jwaaya FC vs Shabab AL Sahel
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Jwaaya FC are 2nd on 9 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Tadamon Sour, 1 point clear of Al Ahed. A win would take them above Tadamon Sour. Shabab AL Sahel are 10th on 0 points after 2 games, level on points with Reyady Abaseya, level on points with Al Akhaa Al Ahli. A win would take them above Reyady Abaseya.
Form. Jwaaya FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Shabab AL Sahel have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Shabab AL Sahel have gone L L D L W W.
The numbers. Jwaaya FC score 2.3 and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets. Jwaaya FC average 11.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Shabab AL Sahel score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Shabab AL Sahel average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Jwaaya FC have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 2 Jul 2026, it finished Jwaaya FC 0-0 Shabab AL Sahel.
The case against. Shabab AL Sahel's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Jwaaya FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Jwaaya FC the likelier winners; Jwaaya FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Jwaaya FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Jwaaya FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Jwaaya FC Over 1.5 Goals (Shabab AL Sahel's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Jwaaya FC 2-1 Shabab AL Sahel (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).