Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
What's at stake. Vissel Kobe are 4th on 22 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Sanfrecce Hiroshima, level on points with Kashiwa Reysol. A win would take them above Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Machida Zelvia are 1st on 26 points after 11 games, 2 points clear of FC Tokyo.
Form. Vissel Kobe have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Vissel Kobe have gone L W L W W W. Machida Zelvia have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition Machida Zelvia have gone W W W L D W.
The numbers. Vissel Kobe score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Vissel Kobe average 13.8 shots (5.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 0.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Machida Zelvia score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Machida Zelvia average 13.4 shots (5.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Vissel Kobe have won two, drawn one and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Vissel Kobe won one, one was drawn and Machida Zelvia won two. The last time they met, on 22 Nov 2025, it finished Vissel Kobe 1-3 Machida Zelvia.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Vissel Kobe's record still gives them 34% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Machida Zelvia to win. An open game. Machida Zelvia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Machida Zelvia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38, 76% on the records (Vissel Kobe: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Machida Zelvia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Machida Zelvia win or both teams score at 1.37. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Vissel Kobe Over 0.5 goals (Machida Zelvia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Machida Zelvia or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 1-2 Machida Zelvia (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).