Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Nouadhibou have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D. FC San Pedro have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. FC Nouadhibou score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Nouadhibou average 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. FC San Pedro score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC San Pedro average 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished FC Nouadhibou 1-2 FC San Pedro.
The case against. A knockout game (2nd Preliminary Round) with penalties if level, and FC San Pedro are not clearly stronger.
The read. FC San Pedro or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC San Pedro the likelier winners; FC San Pedro are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 85% on the records (FC Nouadhibou: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; FC San Pedro: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: FC Nouadhibou Under 1.5 Goals at 1.45. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Nouadhibou 0-1 FC San Pedro (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).