Africain vs TP Mazembe
Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Africain have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. TP Mazembe have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Africain score 1.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Africain average 4.0 shots (1.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. TP Mazembe score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Africain 1-1 TP Mazembe.
The case against. A knockout game (2nd Preliminary Round) with penalties if level, and Africain are not clearly stronger. TP Mazembe's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Africain or the draw. A tight game. Africain are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Africain. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Africain or Draw at 1.12, 70% on the records (Africain unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; TP Mazembe failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Africain 1-1 TP Mazembe (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).