Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. ASEC Mimosas have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. Maghreb AS de Fes have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.
The numbers. ASEC Mimosas score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. ASEC Mimosas average 7.7 shots (2.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Maghreb AS de Fes score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Maghreb AS de Fes average 11.4 shots (4.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 18 Oct 2026, it finished ASEC Mimosas 1-1 Maghreb AS de Fes.
The case against. ASEC Mimosas's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Maghreb AS de Fes or the draw. A tight game. Maghreb AS de Fes are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Maghreb AS de Fes at 1.43, 77% on the records (Maghreb AS de Fes unbeaten in 9 of 10; ASEC Mimosas failed to win 3 of 5 at home). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17 (95%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ASEC Mimosas 0-0 Maghreb AS de Fes (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).