Match details. CAF Confederations Cup. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. Asko have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. FC Diarra have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Asko score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Asko average 7.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. FC Diarra score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Diarra average 12.1 shots (6.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Diarra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Diarra or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Asko Under 1.5 goals (FC Diarra's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Asko 1-1 FC Diarra (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).