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MEXICO - LIGA PRIMERA PREMIER
Jaguares FC crestJFJAG
01:00Sun 25 Oct
REBReboceros de La Piedad crestRD

Jaguares FC vs Reboceros de La Piedad

CLASS D
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THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Jaguares FC are 7th on 11 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Celaya, level on points with Chapulineros. A win would take them above Celaya. Reboceros de La Piedad are 4th on 15 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Pioneros de Cancún, 1 point clear of Tigres de Alica. A win would take them above Pioneros de Cancún.

Form. Jaguares FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. Reboceros de La Piedad have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W.

The numbers. Jaguares FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Jaguares FC average 8.2 shots (3.1 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Reboceros de La Piedad score 1.3 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Reboceros de La Piedad average 12.1 shots (6.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Jaguares FC 1-1 Reboceros de La Piedad (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Jaguares FC the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Jaguares FC: one defeat in their last five league games (D W W L D). Reboceros de La Piedad: up and down in the league (L W L W W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 7 of 7 (100%) · REB 7 of 7 (100%)96.4%
Jaguares FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 7 of 7 (100%) · REB 6 of 7 (86%)91.4%
Jaguares FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 6 of 7 (86%) · REB 7 of 7 (100%)73.6%
Jaguares FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
JAG 3 of 7 (43%) · REB 6 of 7 (86%)48.9%
Jaguares FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 56%
1.79
JAG 2 of 7 (29%) · REB 4 of 7 (57%)34.1%
Jaguares FC: both scored in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 43% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
JAGUARES FC GOALS
Jaguares FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 5 of 7 (71%) · REB 5 of 7 (71%)58.3%
Jaguares FC scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 6 of 7 (86%) · REB 7 of 7 (100%)93.9%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
JAG 6 of 7 (86%) · REB 7 of 7 (100%)93.9%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.40
JAG 5 of 7 (71%) · REB 6 of 7 (86%)79.6%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
JAG 5 of 7 (71%) · REB 5 of 7 (71%)71.4%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 6 of 6 (100%) · REB 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%
Jaguares FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Reboceros de La Piedad's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at Reboceros de La Piedad's level · Reboceros de La Piedad: only games against sides at Jaguares FC's level
Left off the list: Reboceros de La Piedad or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Reboceros de La Piedad or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Reboceros de La Piedad Over 0.5 goals (Jaguares FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Reboceros de La Piedad or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Reboceros de La Piedad 1UP (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
Jaguares FC goals →
Reboceros de La Piedad goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
JAGUARES FCLDDWDLDWWD1.40 PPG
REBOCEROS DE LA PIEDADLLWWWWLDWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
JAGUARES FC HOMExREBOCEROS DE LA PIEDAD AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME2.0050%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%3.50CORNERS A GAME5.333.50CARDS A GAME1.89
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.83POINTS A GAME2.00+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.17-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.86LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
JAGUARES FC OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
REBOCEROS DE LA PIEDAD OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
JAGUARES FCxREBOCEROS DE LA PIEDAD
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.801.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Jaguares FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Reboceros de La Piedad have scored in 90% of their games.
Jaguares FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Reboceros de La Piedad kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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