Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Deportiva Venados are 12th on 8 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Los Cabos United, 1 point clear of Lobos ULMX. A win would take them above Los Cabos United. Tigres de Alica FC are 5th on 14 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Reboceros La Piedad, 1 point clear of Celaya. A win would take them above Reboceros La Piedad.
Form. Deportiva Venados have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. Tigres de Alica FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.
The numbers. Deportiva Venados score two and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Deportiva Venados average 12.9 shots (8.2 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Tigres de Alica FC score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tigres de Alica FC average 6.9 shots (2.4 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, rated 76% (Deportiva Venados: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7; Tigres de Alica FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Predicted score: Deportiva Venados 2-1 Tigres de Alica FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Deportiva Venados the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Deportiva Venados: up and down in the league (W L L D W). Tigres de Alica FC: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W D D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).