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FRANCE - LIGUE 2
Metz crestMETMET
20:00Fri 30 Oct
PAUPau FC crestPF

Metz vs Pau FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz. The referee is Bastein Dechepy.

What's at stake. Metz are 8th on 14 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Annecy, 2 points clear of Dijon. A win would take them above Annecy. Pau FC are 5th on 17 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Reims, level on points with RED Star FC 93. A win would take them above Reims.

Form. Metz have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. Pau FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. Metz score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Metz average 14.4 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Pau FC score 1.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pau FC average 15.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Metz have won one, drawn two and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2025, it finished Metz 1-2 Pau FC: Metz had 17 shots to 18, 66% of the ball, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Metz the likelier winners, but Pau FC are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Pau FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Metz 1-1 Pau FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
MET 3 of 5 (60%) · PAU 9 of 10 (90%)92%
Metz: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Pau FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · Metz: only games against sides at Pau FC's level · Pau FC: only games against sides at Metz's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 81%
1.23
MET 5 of 5 (100%) · PAU 6 of 10 (60%)59.1%
Metz: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pau FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 4 · Metz: only games against sides at Pau FC's level · Pau FC: only games against sides at Metz's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
MET 5 of 5 (100%) · PAU 5 of 10 (50%)45.2%
Metz: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · Pau FC: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 4 · Metz: only games against sides at Pau FC's level · Pau FC: only games against sides at Metz's level
METZ GOALS
Metz Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
MET 5 of 5 (100%) · PAU 8 of 10 (80%)68.4%
Metz scored in 5 of 5 at home · Pau FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Metz: only games against sides at Pau FC's level · Pau FC: only games against sides at Metz's level
PAU FC GOALS
Pau FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
MET 7 of 10 (70%) · PAU 5 of 5 (100%)53.1%
Pau FC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Metz conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 4 · Pau FC: only games against sides at Metz's level · Metz: only games against sides at Pau FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.21
MET 5 of 5 (100%) · PAU 9 of 10 (90%)85.7%
Metz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Pau FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 4 · on half-time scores · Metz: only games against sides at Pau FC's level · Pau FC: only games against sides at Metz's level
Left off the list: Pau FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Metz Under 1.5 goals (Metz's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Pau FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC win or both teams score (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.6%
Metz goals →
Pau FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
METZDWLDLWDDDW1.40 PPG
PAU FCWWWWLDDLWL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
METZ HOMExPAU FC AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.301.40CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE30%4.40CORNERS A GAME4.202.00CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.25POINTS A GAME1.56+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.31.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES9
Pau FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
METZ OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
PAU FC OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
METZxPAU FC
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.48.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
METZ 1 · 25%DRAW 2PAU FC 1 · 25%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-10-01Metz 1 – 0 Pau FC
2023-04-08Metz 1 – 1 Pau FC
2025-01-04Metz 0 – 0 Pau FC
2025-04-26Metz 1 – 2 Pau FC
TRENDS
Metz have scored in 80% of their games.
Pau FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Metz kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Pau FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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