Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz. The referee is Bastein Dechepy.
What's at stake. Metz are 8th on 14 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Annecy, 2 points clear of Dijon. A win would take them above Annecy. Pau FC are 5th on 17 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Reims, level on points with RED Star FC 93. A win would take them above Reims.
Form. Metz have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. Pau FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Metz score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Metz average 14.4 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Pau FC score 1.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pau FC average 15.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Metz have won one, drawn two and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2025, it finished Metz 1-2 Pau FC: Metz had 17 shots to 18, 66% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Metz the likelier winners, but Pau FC are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Pau FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Pau FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Metz 1-1 Pau FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).