Dundalk FC vs Shamrock Rovers
Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 36. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Oriel Park, Dundalk.
What's at stake. Dundalk FC are 7th on 42 points after 35 games, level on points with Galway United, 2 points clear of Waterford. A win would take them above Galway United. Shamrock Rovers are 1st on 68 points after 35 games, 6 points clear of Bohemians. Dundalk FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Dundalk FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Shamrock Rovers have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Dundalk FC score 2.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Dundalk FC average 14.9 shots (4.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Shamrock Rovers score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Shamrock Rovers average 12.9 shots (5.6 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Dundalk FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Dundalk FC won one, one was drawn and Shamrock Rovers won two. The last time they met, on 7 Aug 2026, it finished Dundalk FC 2-3 Shamrock Rovers: Dundalk FC had 13 shots to 14, 47% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Dundalk FC's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. Shamrock Rovers to win. A tight game. Shamrock Rovers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shamrock Rovers. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Shamrock Rovers 1UP at 1.49, 72% on the records (Shamrock Rovers scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 8). Leave: Shamrock Rovers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Dundalk FC Under 1.5 goals (Shamrock Rovers's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Shamrock Rovers or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Dundalk FC 0-1 Shamrock Rovers (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).